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Mark French v. Blair Jones, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 15-35990 · judgment December 7, 2017

Certiorari denied · April 23, 2018
Pre-decision estimate: 10% cert probability (95% interval 7%–13%)

Before the decision, about 2.4× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Ninth Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

Whether a state violates the First Amendment by prohibiting a judicial candidate from seeking, accepting, or using an endorsement from a political party.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Matthew Gerald Monforton
Monforton Law Offices

For respondent
Dale Michael Schowengerdt
Landmark Law, PLLC

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Apr 23 2018
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Apr 06 2018
    Brief amicus curiae of Institute for Free Speech filed. (Distributed)
  3. Apr 04 2018
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 4/20/2018.
  4. Mar 29 2018
    Waiver of right of respondents Blair Jones, et al. to respond filed.
  5. Mar 05 2018
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due April 6, 2018)