Supreme Court Report

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Steven A. McKinnis v. Department of the Interior

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, No. 2024-1136 · judgment January 22, 2026


1%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
GVR risk 0%

Well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.

Questions presented

  1. Whether the Federal Circuit improperly heightened the “contributing factor” standard established by 5 U.S.C. § 1221(e)(1) by effectively requiring direct proof that a deciding official admitted knowledge of protected whistleblowing, contrary to Congress’s intent that causation may be established through circumstantial evidence.

  2. Whether the Federal Circuit erred in affirming the Merit Systems Protection Board’s rejection of an Administrative Judge’s credibility findings without requiring meaningful consideration of contradictory record evidence and witness impeachment.

  3. Whether the Federal Circuit’s decision improperly nullifies the Whistleblower Protection Act’s statutory burden-shifting framework by resolving disputed issues of causation at the prima facie stage, thereby preventing application of the agency’s statutory burden to establish by clear and convincing evidence that it would have taken the same personnel actions absent the protected disclosures

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Robert L. Sirianni Jr.
Brownstone, P.A.

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Aug 19 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  2. Aug 11 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Federal Respondents to respond filed.
  3. Jul 13 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 14, 2026)