Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →
Daniel Defense, LLC, et al. v. Karen Lowy, Individually and as Parent and Next Friend of N. T., et al.
Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, No. 24-1822 · judgment February 11, 2026
(petition-stage, structural)
About 2.7× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel with five or more prior petitions here, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).
Question presented
This Court has consistently cautioned that it is “‘substantially more difficult to establish’” Article III’s traceability requirement “where a causal relation between injury and challenged action depends upon the decision of an independent third party” not before the court. California v. Texas, 593 U.S. 659, 675 (2021) (quoting Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 562 (1992)). The Court has also clarified that merely alleging that a third party’s injurious conduct was a “distant (even if predictable) ripple effect[]” of the defendant’s challenged action is not enough to clear that bar. FDA v. All. for Hippocratic Med., 602 U.S. 367, 383 (2024). Despite those admonitions, a divided Fourth Circuit panel here held that the victims of a horrific shooting perpetrated by a disturbed criminal can sue manufacturers of lawful and commonly owned firearms and related products on the theory that it was predictable that some disturbed individual might react to their speech promoting their lawful products in the shocking way the shooter did. The court reached that startling conclusion, moreover, even though the plaintiffs do not even allege that the shooter actually saw any of the speech they challenge. That decision not only turns Article III upside down, but deepens a circuit split over what level of causal relation is required in third-party-harm cases. The question presented is: Whether plaintiffs can satisfy the traceability requirement of Article III by alleging that the criminal acts of a third party are traceable to social media posts and other speech that they do not allege the third party ever saw.
Counsel of record
For petitioner
Erin E. Murphy
Clement & Murphy, PLLC
For respondent
Kelsi Brown Corkran
Institute for Constitutional Advocacy & Protection
Proceedings
- Aug 31 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including October 26, 2026.
- Aug 28 2026Motion to extend the time to file a response from September 25, 2026 to October 26, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
- Aug 26 2026Response Requested. (Due September 25, 2026)
- Aug 19 2026DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
- Aug 13 2026Brief amici curiae of West Virginia, et al. filed.
- Aug 13 2026Motion for leave to file amicus brief filed by National Shooting Sports Foundation, Inc.
- Aug 12 2026Waiver of right of respondent Karen Lowy, et al. to respond filed.
- Jul 10 2026Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 13, 2026)
- Jun 01 2026Application (25A1228) granted by The Chief Justice further extending the time to file until July 10, 2026.
- May 26 2026Application (25A1228) to extend further the time from June 11, 2026 to July 10, 2026, submitted to The Chief Justice.
- May 11 2026Application (25A1228) granted by The Chief Justice extending the time to file until June 11, 2026.
- May 01 2026Application (25A1228) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from May 12, 2026 to June 11, 2026, submitted to The Chief Justice.