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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC v. Cumulus Media New Holdings Inc.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit, No. 26-88 · judgment July 13, 2026


14%
estimated chance of a grant
(as of the Nov 13 conference)
Rule 10: circuit split argued

About 1.8× the 7.8% base rate for a petition at conference. The model weights this up for two cert-stage amicus briefs, a petition filed soon after the judgment below, and a circuit split argued in the petition, and down for the respondent waiving its right to respond.

At filing: 29% (95% interval 20%–40%), against the 4.1% base rate for a petition at filing

Question presented

The Nielsen Company (US), LLC offered its radioratings products to Cumulus Media New Holdings Inc. both bundled at a discount and on a standalone basis, at prices no one contends were below cost. The Second Circuit nonetheless held that the standalone offer was likely an unlawful “constructive tie” under Section 2 of the Sherman Act because the price was so “exorbitant” that Cumulus had “no choice” but to take the bundle. The court then affirmed a preliminary injunction barring Nielsen from charging a “commercially unreasonable rate.” The question presented is: Whether a seller who offers its products separately and in a bundle, at prices never alleged to be below cost, may be held liable under Section 2 of the Sherman Act for a “constructive tie” because a court deems a standalone price too high relative to a discounted bundle.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Thomas Henderson Dupree Jr.
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher, LLP

For respondent
Katherine Booth Wellington
Hogan Lovells Cadwalader US LLP

Case

Subject area
Economic Activity (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
2 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Nov 05 2026
    Response Requested. (Due December 7, 2026)
  2. Oct 28 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 11/13/2026.
  3. Oct 23 2026
    Letter of respondent submitted pursuant to Rule 29.6 with revised corporate disclosure statement filed.
  4. Oct 19 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Cumulus Media New Holdings Inc. to respond filed.
  5. Oct 19 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Law and Economics Scholars filed.
  6. Oct 19 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Washington Legal Foundation filed.
  7. Sep 15 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 19, 2026)