Supreme Court Report

Supreme Court of the United States · Official docket →

New Mexico v. Samuel Neal

Paid petition · Supreme Court of New Mexico, No. S-1-SC-40407 · judgment April 6, 2026


5%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
Conference-stage estimate: 1%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
GVR risk 1%

Roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and a petition filed soon after the judgment below.

Question presented

The Double Jeopardy Clause of the Fifth Amendment provides that “No person shall. . . be subject for the same offence to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb[.]” The question presented is: When determining whether two crimes are the same offense, should a court consider: a) Only the abstract statutory elements of the crime and other traditional indicia of legislative intent, as held by the Second, Ninth, and Eleventh Circuits; b) The elements as charged in the indictment, as held by the Sixth and Eighth Circuits as well as the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals and the Connecticut Supreme Court; or c) The evidence, argument, and jury instructions at trial, as held by the New Mexico Supreme Court?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Van Edward Snow
New Mexico Department of Justice

For respondent
Joelle N. Gonzales
Law Offices of the Public Defender

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
26A24

Proceedings

  1. Aug 26 2026
    Response Requested. (Due September 25, 2026)
  2. Aug 19 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  3. Jul 24 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Samuel Neal to respond filed.
  4. Jul 06 2026
    Application (26A24) granted by Justice Gorsuch extending the time to file until August 4, 2026.
  5. Jul 06 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 10, 2026)
  6. Jun 24 2026
    Application (26A24) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 5, 2026 to August 4, 2026, submitted to Justice Gorsuch.