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TitleMax of South Carolina, Inc. v. Wendy Spicher, Secretary, Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, No. 25-2027 · judgment August 5, 2026


30%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 19%–44%
Rule 10: circuit split argued

About 7.2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for a petition filed soon after the judgment below, counsel who has won certiorari before, and a circuit split argued in the petition, and down for a state or local-government respondent.

Question presented

Whether a State’s “generic,” New Orleans Pub. Serv., Inc. v. Council of City of New Orleans, 491 U.S. 350, 365 (1989), interest in regulating the transactions that out-of-state companies enter into with the State’s residents within other States’ borders is sufficiently important to permit the State to evade federal court under Younger v. Harris, 401 U.S. 37 (1971).

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Misha Tseytlin
Troutman Pepper Locke LLP

For respondent

Case

Conference history

Proceedings

  1. Aug 27 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due October 1, 2026)