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Joshua Mast, et al. v. John Doe, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, No. 24-1900 · judgment April 22, 2026


Certiorari denied · October 19, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 4% cert probability

Before the decision, roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, a petition citing three to ten dissents, and a dissent in the court below, and down for a petition of 3,000 to 6,000 words.

Question presented

At the outset of this years-long, multi-venue dispute, the district court entered an ex parte order that bars Petitioners Joshua Mast, Stephanie Mast, and Richard Mast (“the Masts”) from disclosing any information that might identify Respondents, even indirectly, under intermediate scrutiny, on the ground that identification would pose a safety risk to Respondents and unspecified family members. The Fourth Circuit held that the order is a content-based prior restraint subject to strict scrutiny, but nevertheless affirmed on an entirely different rationale: that the United States has a compelling interest in protecting the confidentiality of foreign nationals perceived as American collaborators to preserve the Nation’s ability to recruit intelligence assets abroad. No party ever advanced that rationale; the United States never asserted it; and the district court never invoked it. The Fourth Circuit also summarily concluded that the prior restraint was narrowly tailored to serve this novel compelling interest. The Question Presented is: Whether the Fourth Circuit erred in affirming the district court’s content-based prior restraint under strict scrutiny based on a novel public-interest rationale that the parties, the district court, and the United States never presented.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
John Savage Moran
McGuireWoods LLP

For respondent
Kevin Spencer Elliker
Hunton Andrews Kurth LLP

Case

Subject area
First Amendment (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Order
Order list, October 19, 2026 · Certiorari denied

Proceedings

  1. Oct 19 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Sep 30 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/16/2026.
  3. Sep 04 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent John and Jane Doe to respond filed.
  4. Aug 18 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 21, 2026)