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Jaelen M. Johnson v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces, No. 25-0202 · judgment May 26, 2026


4%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
Rule 10: dissent below
GVR risk 0%

Roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for the Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces below, a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and a petition filed soon after the judgment below.

Question presented

In addition to warrants issued by a judicial officer, the Military Rules of Evidence (Mil. R. Evid.) allow a military commander to authorize searches of persons and property. The commanders granting these search authorizations are not required to have legal training or experience and, instead, receive advice from a prosecutor on whether to approve the search. The question presented is: Does the Leon good-faith exception to the exclusionary rule apply when law enforcement relies on a commander’s probable cause determination if that commander has no legal training or education and received advice from the same prosecutor who advised law enforcement?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Joshua Leonel Lopes
U.S. Air Force Judge Advocate General's Corps

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Sep 02 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  2. Aug 31 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  3. Aug 17 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 18, 2026)