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Gary Westcott, Secretary, Louisiana Department of Public Safety and Corrections, et al. v. Voice of the Experienced, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 25-30322


54%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 37%–71%
Conference-stage estimate: 6%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
GVR risk 2%

About 13.2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before and a Fifth Circuit decision below.

Question presented

Under this Court’s longstanding precedents, an otherwise-moot dispute is “not moot [if] it falls within a special category of disputes that are ‘capable of repetition’ while ‘evading review.’” Turner v. Rogers, 564 U.S. 431, 439 (2011). A dispute evades review if it “is ‘in its duration too short to be fully litigated’ through the [lower] courts (and arrive here) prior to its ‘expiration.’” Id. at 440. Applying that rule, the Court has held that periods of one year, one-and-a-half years, and even two years are “too short” for a dispute to be fully litigated. Id. In this litigation, the district court entered three preliminary injunctions, each of which expired by operation of law after 90 days—all while Louisiana’s appeals of the injunction orders were pending. The Fifth Circuit dismissed the three appeals as moot under Smith v. Edwards, 88 F.4th 1119 (5th Cir. 2023), which holds that 90 days is sufficient for “meaningful review,” at least by the Fifth Circuit. App.16a (Wilson, J., respecting the denial of rehearing en banc). By the Fifth Circuit’s lights, these disputes do not “evade review,” and thus the mootness exception for issues capable of repetition yet evading review does not apply. That position splits with decisions from this Court and nearly every federal court of appeals. The questions presented are: 1. Whether, under this Court’s precedents applying the mootness exception for issues capable of repetition yet evading review, a 90-day period is too short to fully litigate an issue.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Jorge Benjamin Aguinaga
Louisiana Department of Justice

For respondent
Samantha Pourciau
Promise of Justice Initiative

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
25A1288

Proceedings

  1. Aug 14 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including October 2, 2026.
  2. Aug 12 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from September 2, 2026 to October 2, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Aug 03 2026
    Response Requested. (Due September 2, 2026)
  4. Jul 29 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  5. Jul 10 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Voice of the Experienced, et al. to respond filed.
  6. Jun 29 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 5, 2026)
  7. May 22 2026
    Application (25A1288) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until June 29, 2026.
  8. May 18 2026
    Application (25A1288) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from May 28, 2026 to June 29, 2026, submitted to Justice Alito.