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A. A., et al. v. Joshua Mast, et al.

Paid petition · Supreme Court of Virginia, No. 240707 · judgment February 12, 2026


10%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 7%–14%
Conference-stage estimate: 1%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued
GVR risk 1%

About 2.5× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

In September 2019, an infant was orphaned during a U.S. military operation in Afghanistan. The Government of Afghanistan, the United States, and the International Committee of the Red Cross identified the child’s Afghan next of kin, and she was placed in petitioners’ care. Eighteen months later, after petitioners fled the Taliban and brought the child to the United States, she was taken from them by respondents. Petitioners have not seen her since. Unbeknownst to petitioners, respondents had months earlier convinced a Virginia state court to grant them an ex parte adoption order, unauthorized under Virginia law, by committing what the United States later called “a fraud on the court.” App.166a. Petitioners were given no notice or opportunity to be heard in those adoption proceedings, even though they had physical custody of the child and were lawfully raising her in Afghanistan at the time. Virginia trial and appellate courts unanimously held that the adoption order was null, void, and unenforceable. Yet, in a sharply divided 4-3 decision, the Virginia Supreme Court reversed. According to the majority, petitioners were not entitled to the most basic procedural protections under the Due Process Clause because they were not the child’s parents. The question presented is: Whether, or under what circumstances, a child’s nonparent caretakers have a cognizable liberty interest under the Due Process Clause entitling them to procedural due process before a court enters an adoption order permanently removing the child from their care.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Roman Martinez V
Latham & Watkins, LLP

For respondent
John Savage Moran
McGuireWoods LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
26A77

Proceedings

  1. Aug 17 2026
    Response Requested. (Due September 16, 2026)
  2. Aug 12 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 9/28/2026.
  3. Aug 10 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Joshua Mast, et al. to respond filed.
  4. Aug 03 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 4, 2026)
  5. Jul 16 2026
    Application (26A77) granted by The Chief Justice extending the time to file until September 18, 2026.
  6. Jul 13 2026
    Application (26A77) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from July 21, 2026 to September 18, 2026, submitted to The Chief Justice.