Supreme Court Report

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Pierre Yvelt Almonor v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, No. 24-4022 · judgment December 16, 2025


14%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 9%–20%
Rule 10: dissent below, circuit split argued

About 3.3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Questions presented

The Constitution’s Venue Clause provides that “the Trial of all Crimes * * * shall be held in the State where the said Crimes shall have been committed.” U.S. Const. art. III, § 2, cl. 3. The Vicinage Clause likewise guarantees criminal defendants the right to trial “by an impartial jury of the State and district wherein the crime shall have been committed.” Id. amend. VI. In this case, petitioner was convicted of conspiracy in the Western District of North Carolina though his own actions had no nexus to that State. Venue rested entirely on acts petitioner did not know about, undertaken by a co-conspirator he did not know existed. The only connection between petitioner and his purported co-conspirator was a shared “hub” who directed multiple parallel but otherwise unconnected scams. The questions presented are:

  1. Whether—as the Second Circuit holds but the Third, Fourth, Sixth, and Ninth Circuits deny—for a co-conspirator’s act to justify criminal venue, it must have been reasonably foreseeable to the defendant that the act would occur in the district where venue is sought.

  2. Whether proving a single hub-and-spoke conspiracy requires proof of a connection between the spokes beyond shared methods of criminality and involvement with the hub—as this Court held in the seminal case of Kotteakos v. United States, 328 U.S. 750 (1946)—or whether, as the court below determined, a single conspiracy can be proved through “overlap of the key actors [i.e., the hub individuals] and the same methods, goals, nature, and results in each * * * scheme[].” App., infra, 6a.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Paul Whitfield Hughes
McDermott Will & Schulte LLP

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history

Linked docket
25A1311

Proceedings

  1. Sep 01 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including October 5, 2026.
  2. Aug 31 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from September 4, 2026 to October 5, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  3. Jul 31 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due September 4, 2026)
  4. Jun 01 2026
    Application (25A1311) granted by The Chief Justice extending the time to file until July 31, 2026.
  5. May 21 2026
    Application (25A1311) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from June 1, 2026 to July 31, 2026, submitted to The Chief Justice.