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J.R. Simplot Company, LLC v. Shoshone-Bannock Tribes of the Fort Hall Reservation, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 23-35543, 23-35544 · judgment August 22, 2025


12%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 9%–17%
Rule 10: dissent below

About 3× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

In the Federal Land Policy and Management Act of 1976 (FLPMA), 43 U.S.C. § 1701 et seq., Congress established a comprehensive scheme for the management and disposal of federal lands, superseding a patchwork of thousands of land laws that had accumulated since the Founding. FLPMA applies to all “public lands,” defined as “any land and interest in land owned by the United States within the several States and administered by * * * the Bureau of Land Management, without regard to how the United States acquired ownership.” Id. § 1702(e). FLPMA authorizes the Bureau (inter alia) to exchange any “tract of public land” for non-federal lands under a uniform set of criteria and procedures. Id. § 1716(a). The Ninth Circuit held, however, that a 1900 statute that ratified the original acquisition of public lands from an Indian tribe and authorized their disposal through certain listed methods barred the Bureau from exercising FLPMA’s statutory authority for those lands. The court recognized that “it is clear that if the 1900 Act did not exist, FLPMA would permit disposal” here. App., infra, 14a. But it reasoned that Congress could not supplement the 1900 Act’s initial enumeration of disposal methods—which are all now repealed or unavailable— without an express reference to that statute or those lands. The question presented is: Whether the Bureau may exercise its authority under FLPMA to dispose of public lands by exchange notwithstanding an earlier federal statute that had expressly authorized the disposal of those lands only through specified methods.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Miguel A. Estrada
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP

For respondent
Neal Kumar Katyal
Milbank LLP

Case

Conference history

Amicus briefs
5 cert-stage

Related
Vide, 26-96

Proceedings

  1. Aug 20 2026
    Brief amici curiae of The National Association of Manufacturers, et al. filed. VIDED.
  2. Aug 20 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Idaho Governor Brad Little, et al. filed. VIDED.
  3. Aug 20 2026
    Brief amici curiae of National Mining Association filed. VIDED.
  4. Aug 20 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America filed. VIDED.
  5. Aug 20 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Mountain States Legal Foundation filed. VIDED.
  6. Aug 14 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including September 23, 2026.
  7. Aug 13 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 24, 2026 to September 23, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  8. Aug 12 2026
    Motion of Shoshone-Bannock Tribes of the Fort Hall Reservation for an extension of time not accepted for filing. (August 13, 2026)
  9. Jul 20 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due August 24, 2026)