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The GEO Group, Inc., a Florida Corporation v. Ugochukwu Nwauzor, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 21-36024, 21-36025 · judgment January 16, 2025


6%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 5%–9%
Conference-stage estimate: 19%
GVR risk 0%

About 1.6× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a business petitioner.

Question presented

The GEO Group, Inc. is a service provider at the Northwest ICE Processing Center (“NWIPC”) in Tacoma, Washington, under contract with the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”). Consistent with congressional direction, that federal contract requires GEO to offer the immigration detainees at the facility the opportunity to participate in a voluntary work program. The program is designed not to treat immigration detainees, who are generally ineligible for lawful work in the United States, as employees, but to give them an outlet to avoid idleness during their detention. To that end, while all ICE detention facilities must offer the program, Congress has long capped the amount it will reimburse from appropriated funds at $1 per day per participant. Washington state had radically different ideas, and would classify federal immigration detainees participating in this federal voluntary work program as ordinary employees entitled to the state minimum wage, even as it exempts its own detainees from that same law. The Ninth Circuit blessed this extraordinary inversion of our constitutional order, rejecting intergovernmental immunity and preemption arguments endorsed by three other circuits and the three most recent administrations, and saddling GEO with an approximately $37 million judgment that has forced the suspension of the federal work program at the federal facility at issue. The question presented is: Whether the Supremacy Clause allows a state to reclassify federal immigration detainees participating in a federal work program as employees and thereby

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Paul D. Clement
Clement & Murphy, PLLC

For respondent
Jennifer Dale Bennett
Gupta Wessler LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A464

Proceedings

  1. May 18 2026
    The Solicitor General is invited to file a brief in this case expressing the views of the United States.
  2. Apr 28 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 5/14/2026.
  3. Apr 27 2026
    Reply of petitioner The GEO Group, Inc. filed. (Distributed)
  4. Apr 10 2026
    Brief of Ugochukwu Nwauzor, et al. in opposition not accepted for filing. (To be resubmitted - April 15, 2026)
  5. Apr 10 2026
    Brief of respondents Ugochukwu Nwauzor, et al. in opposition filed. (Resubmitted)
  6. Apr 09 2026
    Brief of respondent Washington in opposition filed.
  7. Feb 12 2026
    Brief amici curiae of Day 1 Alliance, et al. filed.
  8. Jan 27 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including April 10, 2026, for all respondents.
  9. Jan 23 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from February 12, 2026 to April 10, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  10. Jan 09 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due February 12, 2026)
  11. Dec 02 2025
    Application (25A464) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until January 9, 2026.
  12. Nov 26 2025
    Application (25A464) to extend further the time from December 12, 2025 to January 9, 2026, submitted to Justice Kagan.
  13. Oct 23 2025
    Application (25A464) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until December 12, 2025.
  14. Oct 20 2025
    Application (25A464) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from November 11, 2025 to December 12, 2025, submitted to Justice Kagan.