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Amber Lavigne v. Great Salt Bay Community School Board

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, No. 24-1509 · judgment July 28, 2025


Certiorari denied · March 30, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 2% cert probability

Before the decision, well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.

Questions presented

In December 2022, Petitioner discovered a chest binder in her 13-year-old child’s room. After speaking with her child, she learned that a social worker at her child’s public school had given her child the binder and that others had “socially transitioned” the child by using a different name and pronouns. No one from the school informed Petitioner of these decisions, and despite a written policy requiring parental involvement in such decisions, school officials have repeatedly said that school staff violated no policy by withholding this information. Petitioner sued the School Board, alleging the existence of an unwritten policy allowing employees to make these decisions without informing parents, which violated Petitioner’s fundamental right to control and direct the education and upbringing of her child. The First Circuit dismissed Petitioner’s claims, however, determining that there was a more probable “alternative explanation” than the existence of an unwritten policy. In doing so, the court widened an entrenched circuit split over the application of the Twombly/Iqbal “plausibility” requirement. The questions presented are:

  1. Whether a court can rely on a probable alternative explanation at the 12(b)(6) stage to dismiss a claim, as five circuits hold, or whether a complaint can only be dismissed if the plaintiff’s explanation is itself implausible, as three circuits hold.

  2. Whether a parent’s fundamental constitutional rights include the right to be notified when public schools affirmatively recognize and facilitate a child’s gendertransition.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Adam Christopher Shelton
Goldwater Institute

For respondent
Kasia Soon Park
Drummond Woodsum

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Amicus briefs
3 cert-stage

Linked docket
25A436

Proceedings

  1. Mar 30 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Mar 11 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/27/2026.
  3. Mar 06 2026
    Reply of petitioner Amber Lavigne filed.
  4. Feb 23 2026
    Brief of respondent Great Salt Bay Community School Board in opposition filed.
  5. Feb 23 2026
    Brief amici curiae of South Carolina, et al. filed.
  6. Feb 23 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Manhattan Institute filed.
  7. Feb 23 2026
    Brief amici curiae of America's Frontline Doctors, et al. filed.
  8. Jan 22 2026
    Response Requested. (Due February 23, 2026)
  9. Jan 21 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/20/2026.
  10. Jan 07 2026
    Waiver of right of respondent Great Salt Bay Community School Board to respond filed.
  11. Dec 22 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due January 28, 2026)
  12. Oct 16 2025
    Application (25A436) granted by Justice Jackson extending the time to file until December 22, 2025.
  13. Oct 08 2025
    Application (25A436) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from October 26, 2025 to December 22, 2025, submitted to Justice Jackson.