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Mike Brown, Warden v. Louis Chandler

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, No. 23-1270 · judgment May 9, 2025


Certiorari denied · March 9, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 6% cert probability (95% interval 3%–10%)

Before the decision, modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a state or local-government petitioner, and a Sixth Circuit decision below.

Questions presented

Criminal defendants are guaranteed “a meaningful opportunity to present a complete defense.” Crane v. Kentucky, 476 U.S. 683, 689–90 (1986). Yet the states maintain “broad latitude under the Constitution to establish rules excluding evidence from criminal trials.” United States v. Scheffer, 523 U.S. 303, 308 (1998). That latitude is curtailed only if the rules are “arbitrary or disproportionate to the purposes they are designed to serve,” Rock v. Arkansas, 483 U.S. 44, 55– 56 (1987), or if they “infringe[ ] upon a weighty interest of the accused,” Scheffer, 523 U.S. at 308. “Only rarely ha[s] [this Court] held that the right to present a defense was violated by the exclusion of defense evidence under a state rule of law.” Nevada v. Jackson, 569 U.S. 505, 509 (2013). And when, as here, the right is implicated in a 28 U.S.C. § 2254 petition, the state court’s application of this Court’s precedents must be given “substantial deference.” Jackson, 569 U.S. at 512. The questions presented are:

  1. Do this Court’s precedents prohibiting the application of arbitrary rules to exclude evidence “clearly establish,” under § 2254(d)(1), that a state court’s misapplication of a valid state rule can rise to a federal constitutional violation?

  2. Do this Court’s precedents, which generally have found that a defendant has a weighty interest in presenting “ ‘facts’ about the alleged crime at hand,” Scheffer, 523 U.S. at 316–17 n.13, clearly establish that a defendant also has a weighty interest in presenting extrinsic credibility evidence unrelated to the facts of the underlying crime?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Ann Maurine Sherman
Michigan Department of Attorney General

For respondent
Jessica Lynn Zimbelman
State Appellate Defender Office

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Proceedings

  1. Mar 09 2026
    Motion for leave to proceed in forma pauperis filed by respondent GRANTED.
  2. Mar 09 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  3. Feb 18 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/6/2026.
  4. Feb 17 2026
    Reply of petitioner Mike Brown, Warden filed. (Distributed)
  5. Feb 04 2026
    Brief of respondent Louis Chandler in opposition filed.
  6. Feb 04 2026
    Motion for leave to proceed in forma pauperis filed by respondent Louis Chandler.
  7. Jan 06 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including February 9, 2026.
  8. Jan 05 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from January 8, 2026 to February 9, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  9. Dec 09 2025
    Response Requested. (Due January 8, 2026)
  10. Dec 03 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/9/2026.
  11. Dec 01 2025
    Waiver of right of respondent Louis Chandler to respond filed.
  12. Oct 29 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due December 1, 2025)