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Thomas Mitchell Overton v. Ricky D. Dixon, Secretary, Florida Department of Corrections

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, No. 16-10654, 21-13309 · judgment June 26, 2025


Certiorari denied · February 23, 2026
Pre-decision estimate: 1% cert probability

Before the decision, well below the 4.1% base rate, with no standout signals pointing toward a grant.

Question presented

The Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act (“AEDPA”) prevents federal courts from granting habeas petitions for constitutional violations regarding state court criminal convictions unless the state’s adjudication of the claim “resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law.” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1). This Court has held that to overcome “AEDPA deference,” the application of the federal law must be unreasonable, a standard higher than that of “clear error.” Williams v. Taylor, 529 U.S. 362, 411 (2000); Lockyer v. Andrade, 538 U.S. 63, 75 (2003). In Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, 603 U.S. 369 (2024), this Court held that “the ‘final interpretation of the laws’” would be in “the proper and peculiar province of the courts.” Id. at 385 (citation omitted). The first question presented is: 1. Whether AEDPA deference is unconstitutional under Loper Bright. Under the prejudice standard for a Sixth Amendment ineffective assistance of counsel claim and the materiality standard under Brady v. Maryland, 373 U.S. 83 (1963), a petitioner does not have to show that he would have been acquitted but for the constitutional violation; he only needs to show that there is a reasonable probability that the result of the trial would have been different, which is a probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the outcome. The Eleventh Circuit—like all of the courts to consider this issue before it—held Mr. Overton to a higher standard, one that requires him to completely undermine the reliability of the DNA evidence offered against him even

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Eric Thomas Kohan
Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati PC

For respondent
Scott Andrew Browne
Office of the Attorney General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Linked docket
25A224

Proceedings

  1. Feb 23 2026
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Jan 28 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/20/2026.
  3. Jan 23 2026
    Reply of petitioner Thomas Overton filed. (Distributed)
  4. Jan 12 2026
    Brief of respondent Ricky D. Dixon, Secretary, Florida Department of Corrections in opposition filed.
  5. Oct 31 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including January 12, 2026.
  6. Oct 29 2025
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from November 26, 2025 to January 12, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  7. Oct 24 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 26, 2025)
  8. Aug 26 2025
    Application (25A224) granted by Justice Thomas extending the time to file until October 24, 2025.
  9. Aug 22 2025
    Application (25A224) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from September 24, 2025 to November 21, 2025, submitted to Justice Thomas.