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Derick Irisha Brown v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, No. 23-10870 · judgment December 31, 2025


8%
estimated cert probability
(petition-stage, structural)
95% interval 5%–13%
Rule 10: circuit split argued
At the Oct 16 conference: granted 2.6% · GVR 0.30% · relisted 37% · denied 60%
Granted ever, conference-stage estimate: 20%

About 2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weights this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and an Eleventh Circuit decision below, and down for a petition of 3,000 to 6,000 words.

Question presented

18 U.S.C. § 1201(a)(1) makes kidnapping a federal offense where the defendant uses “any means, facility, or instrumentality of interstate or foreign commerce.” The Question Presented is whether an automobile is per se an instrumentality of interstate commerce, which would make a federal offense of every kidnapping involving an automobile.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Stuart Banner
UCLA School of Law Supreme Court Clinic

For respondent
D. John Sauer
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
2 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Sep 30 2026
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/16/2026.
  2. Sep 21 2026
    Reply of petitioner Derick Irisha Brown filed.
  3. Sep 11 2026
    Brief of respondent United States in opposition filed.
  4. Aug 31 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including September 11, 2026.
  5. Aug 28 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from September 2, 2026 to September 11, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  6. Jul 24 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including September 2, 2026.
  7. Jul 22 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from August 3, 2026 to September 2, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  8. Jul 02 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Professor Randy E. Barnett filed.
  9. Jul 02 2026
    Brief amicus curiae of Cato Institute filed.
  10. Jun 25 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including August 3, 2026.
  11. Jun 23 2026
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from July 2, 2026 to August 3, 2026, submitted to The Clerk.
  12. May 21 2026
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due July 2, 2026)