Supreme Court Report

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Andrew Sablan Salas v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 22-16936 · judgment August 27, 2024


Certiorari denied · March 31, 2025
Pre-decision estimate: 6% cert probability (95% interval 4%–9%)

Before the decision, modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Ninth Circuit decision below, a dissent in the court below, and counsel who has filed here before.

Question presented

Is the application of federal legislation to the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands under the US-CNMI Covenant properly evaluated by means of a “rational basis” test, as the application of such legislation to a Territory of the United States would be evaluated under the Territorial Clause?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Joseph Edward Horey
Banes Horey Nie & Miller, LLC

For respondent
Sarah M. Harris
Acting Solicitor General

Case

Subject area
Federalism (estimated from the questions presented, in the Supreme Court Database’s categories)

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Order
Order list, March 31, 2025 · Certiorari denied

Proceedings

  1. Mar 31 2025
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Mar 12 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/28/2025.
  3. Mar 10 2025
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  4. Feb 03 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due March 10, 2025)