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Andrew Sablan Salas v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 22-16936 · judgment August 27, 2024


Certiorari denied · March 31, 2025
Pre-decision estimate: 9% cert probability (95% interval 6%–12%)

Before the decision, about 2.2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Ninth Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

Is the application of federal legislation to the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands under the US-CNMI Covenant properly evaluated by means of a “rational basis” test, as the application of such legislation to a Territory of the United States would be evaluated under the Territorial Clause?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Joseph Edward Horey
Banes Horey Nie & Miller, LLC

For respondent
Sarah M. Harris
Acting Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Mar 31 2025
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Mar 12 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/28/2025.
  3. Mar 10 2025
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  4. Feb 03 2025
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due March 10, 2025)