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Dennis Hopkins, et al. v. Michael Watson, Mississippi Secretary of State

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, No. 19-60662, 19-60678 · judgment July 18, 2024


Certiorari denied · January 27, 2025
Pre-decision estimate: 7% cert probability (95% interval 5%–10%)

Before the decision, about 1.6× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Fifth Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and down for a state or local-government respondent.

Questions presented

  1. Mississippi’s harsh and unforg iv ing felony disenfranchisement scheme is a national outlier. Section 241 of the Mississippi Constitution punishes citizens convicted of a wide range of felonies by forever depriving them of the right to vote even after sentence completion, no matter how minor the underlying crime, the age of the citizen at the time of the offense, or the amount of time that has passed since the conviction. A national consensus has formed against this unconscionable form of punishment. Today, Mississippi is one of only two states that continues to punish first-time offenders who commit non-violent and non-voting-related felonies with lifetime disenfranchisement. The first question presented is: Does Section 241’s lifetime disenfranchisement of individuals who have completed their sentences for past felony convictions violate the Eighth Amendment’s prohibition on “cruel and unusual punishments”?

  2. In Richardson v. Ramirez, this Court held that lifetime felony disenfranchisement laws are exempt from strict scrutiny review under the Equal Protection Clause because Section 2 of the Fourteenth Amendment provides an “affirmative sanction” for such laws. 418 U.S. 24, 54 (1974). Section 2 provides that a State’s representatives in Congress are reduced when the right to vote “is denied to any of the male inhabitants of such State, being twenty-one years of age, and citizens of the United States, or in any way abridged, except for participation in rebellion, or other crime.” Under the last antecedent rule, the phrase “except for participation in rebellion, or other crime” in Section 2

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Jonathan K. Youngwood
Simpson Thacher & Bartlett, LLP

For respondent
Scott Grant Stewart
Mississippi Attorney General's Office

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Linked docket
24A277

Proceedings

  1. Jan 27 2025
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Jan 21 2025
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/24/2025.
  3. Jan 13 2025
    Rescheduled.
  4. Dec 31 2024
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/17/2025.
  5. Dec 27 2024
    Reply of petitioners Dennis Hopkins, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  6. Dec 19 2024
    Brief amicus curiae of American Probation and Parole Association filed.
  7. Dec 13 2024
    Brief of respondent Michael Watson, Mississippi Secretary of State, in opposition filed.
  8. Nov 15 2024
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due December 19, 2024)
  9. Sep 18 2024
    Application (24A277) granted by Justice Alito extending the time to file until November 15, 2024.
  10. Sep 16 2024
    Application (24A277) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from October 16, 2024 to November 15, 2024, submitted to Justice Alito.