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Matthew McCoy v. United States

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit, No. 21-3895 · judgment July 15, 2024


Certiorari denied · November 12, 2024
Pre-decision estimate: 29% cert probability (95% interval 20%–41%)

Before the decision, about 7.1× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a petition filed soon after the judgment below.

Question presented

18 U.S.C. § 2251(a) makes it a crime to “use[] … any minor to engage in … any sexually explicit conduct for the purpose of producing any visual depiction of such conduct.” “[S]exually explicit conduct” is defined to include “lascivious exhibition of the … genitals[] or pubic area of any person.” 18 U.S.C. § 2256(2)(A). The question presented, on which there is an acknowledged circuit conflict, is: Does a defendant produce videos depicting a minor engaged in “lascivious exhibition,” and thus “sexually explicit conduct” under 18 U.S.C. § 2251(a), by secretly recording a nude minor in the bathroom engaged in innocent daily activities like getting in and out of the shower?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
E. Joshua Rosenkranz
Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe LLP

For respondent
Elizabeth B. Prelogar
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Proceedings

  1. Nov 12 2024
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Oct 23 2024
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 11/8/2024.
  3. Oct 17 2024
    Waiver of right of respondent United States to respond filed.
  4. Oct 01 2024
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 4, 2024)