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Kari Lake, et al. v. Adrian Fontes, Arizona Secretary of State, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 22-16413 · judgment October 16, 2023


Certiorari denied · April 22, 2024
Pre-decision estimate: 4% cert probability

Before the decision, roughly the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel with five or more prior petitions here, a Ninth Circuit decision below, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition), and down for a state or local-government respondent.

Questions presented

As 2022 candidates for Governor and Secretary of State, petitioners sued Arizona’s Secretary of State and two counties to challenge whether electronic voting machines assure a fair and accurate vote under the Due Process Clause and their rights as candidates and voters. Petitioners also sought a preliminary injunction, and six cyber or national-security experts testified on the voting machines’ unsuitability to provide a secure and accurate vote. The testimony and evidence showed actual electronic vote tampering in prior elections, which the district court disregarded in finding petitioners’ claims too speculative for Article III standing, based in part on safeguards the counties claimed to follow. The Ninth Circuit affirmed citing, inter alia, Lance v. Coffman, 549 U.S. 437 (2007), for the lack of particularized injury in voters’ challenges. New evidence from other litigation and public-record requests shows defendants made false statements to the district court regarding the safeguards allegedly followed to ensure the accuracy of the vote, on which the district court relied. That enables petitioners to seek to amend their allegations on standing under 28 U.S.C. §1653 to show a non-speculative likelihood that the same harms will recur in future elections, which harms did indeed occur in the 2022 election. The questions presented are:

  1. Whether an Article III case or controversy existed at all relevant times and still exists.

  2. Whether petitioners may amend their allegations of jurisdiction under §1653 to allege recently discovered pre-litigation injury.

  3. Whether petitioners’ injuries—if moot—are nonetheless capable of repetition, yet evading review.

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Lawrence J. Joseph
Law Office of Lawrence J. Joseph

For respondent
Daniel S. Jurkowitz
Pima Cnty. Attorney's Office

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
2 cert-stage

Linked docket
23A622

Proceedings

  1. Apr 22 2024
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Apr 17 2024
    Brief amici curiae of Maricopa County Republican Committee and 10 Other Republican County Committees, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  3. Apr 11 2024
    Brief amici curiae of Georgia Republican Party, Inc.,et al. (Distributed)
  4. Apr 09 2024
    Amicus brief of Georgia Republican Party, Inc. not accepted for filing. (April 11, 2024)
  5. Apr 03 2024
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 4/19/2024.
  6. Apr 02 2024
    Supplemental Brief of Kari Lake, et al. not accepted for filing. (April 03, 2024)
  7. Mar 27 2024
    Waiver of right of respondent Pima County Board of Supervisors to respond filed.
  8. Mar 27 2024
    Waiver of right of respondent Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes to respond filed.
  9. Mar 27 2024
    Waiver of right of respondents Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, et al. to respond filed.
  10. Mar 20 2024
    Motion to expedite considerarion filed by petitioner Kari Lake, et al.
  11. Mar 14 2024
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due April 17, 2024)
  12. Feb 05 2024
    Application (23A622) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until March 14, 2024.
  13. Feb 01 2024
    Application (23A622) to extend further the time from February 15, 2024 to March 14, 2024, submitted to Justice Kagan.
  14. Jan 05 2024
    Application (23A622) granted by Justice Kagan extending the time to file until February 15, 2024.
  15. Jan 03 2024
    Application (23A622) to extend the time to file a petition for a writ of certiorari from January 14, 2024 to February 15, 2024, submitted to Justice Kagan.