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Missouri v. Janet L. Yellen, Secretary of the Treasury, et al.

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit, No. 21-2118 · judgment July 14, 2022


Certiorari denied · January 17, 2023
Pre-decision estimate: 8% cert probability (95% interval 5%–13%)

Before the decision, about 2× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a circuit split argued in the petition, an Eighth Circuit decision below, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Questions presented

In response to the pandemic-related economic downturn, Congress passed the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (ARPA), Pub. L. No. 117-2, 135 Stat. 4. ARPA provides Missouri with roughly $2.7 billion and a condition: The State cannot use those funds “to either directly or indirectly offset a reduction in the net tax revenue of such State or territory resulting from a change in law, regulation, or administrative interpretation.” § 9901, 135 Stat. at 227 (codified at 42 U.S.C. § 802(c)(2)(A)). The Department of the Treasury (“Treasury”)—consistent with public comments by Secretary Yellen—reads the law as prohibiting revenue-reducing tax policies. Missouri interprets the law as prohibiting only the deliberate use of ARPA funds to pay for a tax cut, and the government’s position as unconstitutional. The Eighth Circuit held Missouri lacked standing to seek judicial resolution of that difference. The questions presented are:

  1. Does the State of Missouri have standing to challenge Treasury’s interpretation of the Tax Mandate as inconsistent with the law?

  2. Does the Tax Mandate prohibit only the deliberate use of ARPA funds to pay for a tax cut?

  3. If the Tax Mandate does more than prevent the deliberate use of ARPA funds to pay for a tax cut, is it constitutional under Article I, § 8 and Tenth Amendment?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Michael Everett Talent
Missouri Attorney General's Office

For respondent
Elizabeth B. Prelogar
Solicitor General

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 1 conference

Amicus briefs
1 cert-stage

Proceedings

  1. Jan 17 2023
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Jan 04 2023
    Reply of petitioner Missouri filed. (Distributed)
  3. Dec 28 2022
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/13/2023.
  4. Dec 14 2022
    Brief of respondents Janet L. Yellen, Secretary of the Treasury, et al. in opposition filed.
  5. Nov 14 2022
    Brief amicus curiae of National Taxpayers Union Foundation filed.
  6. Oct 20 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including December 14, 2022.
  7. Oct 19 2022
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from November 14, 2022 to December 14, 2022, submitted to The Clerk.
  8. Oct 12 2022
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 14, 2022)