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Stephanie Clifford, aka Stormy Daniels v. Donald J. Trump

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, No. 18-56351 · judgment July 31, 2020


Certiorari denied · February 22, 2021
Pre-decision estimate: 9% cert probability (95% interval 7%–12%)

Before the decision, about 2.1× the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for a Ninth Circuit decision below, a circuit split argued in the petition, and a dissent in the court below (flagged in the petition).

Question presented

In Shady Grove Orthopedic Assocs., P.A. v. Allstate Ins. Co., 559 U.S. 393 (2010), this Court held that a valid Federal Rule of Civil Procedure governs over a state procedural rule if the two rules “answer the same question.” Id. at 399. The Court outlined a twopronged test: A federal rule governs when it (1) “answer[s] the same question” as the state law, and (2) it is not “ultra vires.” Id. This Court also made clear that rules on pleadings and summary judgment are “ostensibly addressed to procedure.” Id. at 404. This case involves the Texas Citizens’ Participation Act (“TCPA”). The TCPA, like Fed. R. Civ. P. 12 and 56, provides a “procedure for the expedited dismissal of [meritless] suits.” In re Lipsky, 460 S.W.3d 579, 586 (Tex. 2015) (emphasis added). Applying Shady Grove, the Fifth Circuit held that the TCPA answers the same questions as Fed. R. Civ. P. 12 and 56—i.e., “what are the circumstances under which a court must dismiss a case before trial?” The Fifth Circuit held that the TCPA is inapplicable in federal court. But in the decision below, the Ninth Circuit split with the Fifth Circuit, holding that the TCPA applies in federal court. Thus, the Second, Fifth, Tenth, Eleventh, and D.C. Circuits all hold that statutes like the TCPA are inapplicable, while the First and Ninth Circuits apply them. THE QUESTION PRESENTED IS: Does the TCPA apply in Federal Court diversity jurisdiction cases under Erie R.R. Co. v. Tompkins, 304 U.S. 64 (1938)?

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Clark Otto Brewster
Brewster & De Angelis

For respondent
Charles John Harder
HARDER, LLP

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Proceedings

  1. Feb 22 2021
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Jan 20 2021
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 2/19/2021.
  3. Jan 19 2021
    Reply of petitioner Stephanie Clifford filed. (Distributed)
  4. Jan 18 2021
    Letter waiving the 14-day waiting period for the filing of a reply pursuant to Rule 15.5 filed.
  5. Jan 11 2021
    Brief of respondent Donald J. Trump in opposition filed. (Distributed)
  6. Dec 10 2020
    Response Requested. (Due January 11, 2021)
  7. Dec 09 2020
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 1/8/2021.
  8. Dec 07 2020
    Waiver of right of respondent Donald J. Trump to respond filed.
  9. Oct 29 2020
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due December 7, 2020)