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John Doe 1, et al. v. Federal Election Commission

Paid petition · United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, No. 18-5099 · judgment April 12, 2019


Certiorari denied · March 23, 2020
Pre-decision estimate: 6% cert probability (95% interval 4%–9%)

Before the decision, modestly above the 4.1% base rate. The model weighted this up for counsel who has won certiorari before and a D.C. Circuit decision below.

Question presented

In recognition of the highly sensitive First Amendment realm in which it operates, the Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA) imposes strict limits on the disclosure of administrative enforcement proceedings conducted by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). The FEC is expressly prohibited from disclosing “[a]ny ... investigation” it conducts, or any information obtained in the course of attempting to negotiate a resolution to an investigation without the permission of the target, subject to the narrow exceptions for any “conciliation agreement” with a “respondent” and any “determination that a person has not violated” a federal election law. 52 U.S.C. §30109(a)(12), (a)(4)(B)(i)-(ii). Petitioners are a trust and trustee whose confidential election-related actions the FEC staff briefly investigated in the course of an investigation into four other entities. The FEC neither reached a conciliation agreement with petitioners nor reached a definitive no-violation determination with respect to them. Instead, three of the five voting commissioners voted not to pursue the investigation further given the novelty of the liability theory. Nonetheless, the Commission now seeks to disclose petitioners’ identities and link them to highly inflammatory accusations by the two commissioners who were outvoted, even though those accusations were never pursued, let alone found warranted. The question presented is: Whether, notwithstanding FECA’s express bar on prohibiting the disclosure of any investigation, and its careful constraints on the FEC’s disclosure powers,

Counsel of record

For petitioner
Paul D. Clement
Clement & Murphy, PLLC

For respondent
Noel John Francisco
Jones Day

Case

Conference history
Distributed for 2 conferences

Linked docket
19M54

Proceedings

  1. Mar 23 2020
    Petition DENIED.
  2. Mar 04 2020
    DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 3/20/2020.
  3. Mar 04 2020
    Reply of petitioners John Doe 1, et al. filed. (Distributed)
  4. Feb 14 2020
    Brief of respondent Federal Election Commission in opposition filed.
  5. Jan 09 2020
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including February 14, 2020.
  6. Jan 08 2020
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from January 15, 2020 to February 14, 2020, submitted to The Clerk.
  7. Dec 06 2019
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is further extended to and including January 15, 2020.
  8. Dec 05 2019
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from December 16, 2019 to January 15, 2020, submitted to The Clerk.
  9. Nov 15 2019
    Motion to extend the time to file a response is granted and the time is extended to and including December 16, 2019.
  10. Nov 14 2019
    Motion to extend the time to file a response from November 14, 2019 to December 16, 2019, submitted to The Clerk.
  11. Oct 15 2019
    Motion (19M54) for leave to file a petition for a writ of certiorari under seal with redacted copies for the public record Granted.
  12. Sep 25 2019
    MOTION (19M54) DISTRIBUTED for Conference of 10/11/2019.
  13. Sep 16 2019
    Motion (19M54) for leave to file a petition for a writ of certiorari under seal with redacted copies for the public record filed.
  14. Sep 16 2019
    Petition for a writ of certiorari filed. (Response due November 14, 2019)